As you all know by now, we’ve expanded here at Open Wheel America this season. More writers means more content and more ideas flowing through the pages of this website. It also means our race previews are bound to get a lot better, as we play off of one another’s opinions to give you, the fans, a better look at how we think this IZOD IndyCar Series season is going to go down.
Speaking of more writers, we’ve got two more joining the site. Ryan Worden and Chad Smith are two of the top IndyCar writers on BleacherReport.com, and together the three of us were the main contributors in their IndyCar Writers’ Pool last year. This year, they’re going to be here with us, and we’ve sort of adapted the old Writers’ Pool idea into this: Four Tires and Fuel.
Consider this the new race preview post. We’ll post Four Tires and Fuel in the week leading up to each race. The idea is for us to answer three of the burning questions on everybody’s mind, and pick our race winners. So, without further ado, Catie, Kyle, and I take on the hot topics for this weekend’s race, the Honda Grand Prix of St. Petersburg:
1. Which driver with a new team is going to do the best this season?
Catie: Tony Kanaan. He’s a veteran, drives like a crazy man (but DOESN’T wreck himself, his teammates, or other drivers) and has the ability to translate the speed the KV cars have into good results.
Kyle: Look for Tony Kanaan to boost the KV program and Mike Conway to break out at Andretti Autosport.
Chris: Kanaan’s an easy pick, no doubt. I just wonder if it’s too easy of a pick. I kind of want to say Sebastien Bourdais, but he’s not running a full schedule. So I’m going to pick his old Champ Car teammate Graham Rahal – but he’s going to do most of his best work in the second half of the season. I expect that new team to struggle a bit early on.
Chad: Tony Kanaan is the obvious choice. Another guy I am going to go with is Mike Conway. I believe he has a great opportunity to finally get some quality finishes. Does Alex Tagliani count? If so, he would be my guy here.
Ryan: Lots of great drivers are with new teams this year. Tons of excitement with TK going to KV, Conway moving to Andretti, Servia going to Newman Haas, and Bourdais returning to the grid. But my pick has to be Graham Rahal with his new Service Central team under the Ganassi flag. Graham is one of the best young drivers, and he is joining the best team in the business. While I think all new drivers will do well with their new teams, Graham has the best combination of talent and equipment.
2. Which driver is most likely to break out this year?
Catie: He doesn’t seem to quite qualify as a driver that needs a breakout year, but I think Oriol Servia will finally have an opportunity to shine this season. More obvious picks: Conway and Rahal need to given their team “upgrades” over the off-season.
Kyle: Simona De Silvestro. Not picking her because she’s my favorite, but because what she has going for her. New sponsor, more money to work with, new car, a year under her belt, massive amounts of talent, and a great supporting cast around her.
Chris: I gotta say, I love what J.R. Hildebrand has going for him. The folks in the Panther organization are proven winners, and that’s a big reason why they’re one of the best remaining teams from the original IRL. As a driver, he’s got that “it” factor. And come on, the last time a guy named J.R. drove a No. 4 car, he won the Indianapolis 500 (Johnny Rutherford in 1980). Panther’s got, what, three runner-up finishes in a row? That seems like a good omen to me.
Chad: I love the Hildebrand pick here, I think he could do some great things in the future for Panther Racing. The guy I am going with here though is Marco Andretti. The problem he has had has been staying up front late in races. I think he has improved vastly on the street/road courses, and we know he can put it together on the ovals. With TK gone, someone is going to have to step up for AA, and I think I give the slight edge to him over Hunter-Reay.
Ryan: I think we’ll see great years from a few drivers this year that haven’t been able to put it all together in the past. Rahal and Andretti will look to show the new generation can keep up with their pops. Both have shown flashes, but its time to show they can keep those up. Hildebrand is in a great position with a great team, but only having one car will limit their potential. My pick for the year is Marco Andretti. He will work better with Mike Conway than he did with Tony Kanaan, and Andretti will work better as a team despite losing their most talented driver.
3. Which unemployed driver most deserves to be on the grid this weekend?
Catie: Dan Wheldon. And yet, maybe not. He’s been quiet this off-season and hasn’t drawn attention of an unflattering sort to himself… but he’s also been a little too quiet. Hmmm. Still picking Dan Wheldon.
Kyle: Undoubtedly Dan Wheldon. Indy 500 champ and series champ in 2005 and no ride now? Hopefully that changes soon.
Chris: OK, look, I love British drivers, and I love Dan Wheldon – in fact there’s an autographed Wheldon die-cast staring me in the face as I write this – but I’m going to break ranks and say Paul Tracy, because his plight has lasted so much longer. I don’t think he’s too old to make some magic, and he’s loud and brash, which is what I think the series needs. Again, I love Wheldon, and I hope Hot Wheels swings him some money after his Battle Force 5 appearance, but I want the Chrome Horn back in a car full-time.
Chad: Just like the first question, the obvious answer is too easy, so I will go with someone other than Wheldon. As much as I love having Paul Tracy in races, I think an underrated guy is Alex Lloyd. He hasn’t had a lot of opportunities, and I think he deserves another chance.
Ryan: Can I count Rick Mears or Arie? They are technically unemployed, and both seem to be in good enough shape to hop in. But if I have to pick from drivers who are actually trying to obtain a ride, then Dan Wheldon is the most obvious choice. Dan is probably the most talented driver on ovals in the series. While he has struggled at times on the road and street courses (only one of his fifteen wins have come on the twistees), he is great for the series and his sponsors. Dan brings a level of composure, class and excitement that many drivers currently in the field do not, and he should be strapping into a Dallara every weekend. Paul Tracy is my 1a choice here, because I’d like to see him go out with a real shot at it instead of having his career whimper out at the end.
4. Who’s going to win on Sunday?
Catie: Obvious pick – Will Power. Obvious dark horse – Justin Wilson. Biased pick – Graham Rahal. “Love to see it, but it won’t happen yet” pick – TK.
Kyle: Power. Rest of the podium will be Rahal and Ryan Hunter-Reay. Sleeper – Oriol Servia. Dark horses – Mike Conway and Simona.
Chris: For once I’ll go with the consensus and say Power, as the defending champion. I also like how Servia’s looked in preseason testing, and everybody knows how much I loved Champ Car. I don’t think Rahal’s going to have the magic yet, sorry. But I do have a good feeling about Bourdais as a sleeper, and even his Dale Coyne Racing teammate, James Jakes. (Oh, and if you’re reading, Mr. Jakes, sorry that our emails never seemed to go through… we’d still love to talk to you, though.)
Chad: Even though I am going out on a limb and picking someone other than Helio, I’m still not taking a Ganassi guy here. They now have three legitimate bullets in their gun with Dario, Dixon, and now Rahal. I think all three of those guys will do well this weekend, but I am picking Helio for this one. He won this race in 2006 and 2007, then finished in second place in 2008. He is going to start the season off right, with a big win in St. Pete.
Ryan: Power seems to be the flavor of the day, but I always like to buck trends. I think Graham Rahal is in a perfect place to throw down the gauntlet on the season and let the field know he has the equipment he needs to win races. He won his first ever INDYCAR race here in 2008 with NHL, and has managed two other top tens at the track, including a ninth place finish last year for a Sarah Fisher team that had basically zero road course experience. Will Power will not be happy about it, but I see him struggling with some accidental damage in this one. He is still the best on road and street, but his luck was too good last year and that never lasts in racing (ask Briscoe). To fill out my podium, I’ll take Helio and Scott Dixon. My sleeper for his one is going to be Marco Andretti, because it is his time to step up to the top tier. Dark horse pick would be Simona this weekend. More money and more experience means she’ll want to improve on her 2010 performance. (Glad to join Open Wheel America for the Four Tires and Fuel and occasional lunatic rant. For those of you who don’t know me, I always write entirely too much, so enjoy!)